
Reuters reports that US grain exports fell as Gulf Coast terminals struggled to recover from Hurricane Ida. Soybean inspections rose only slightly from a seven-year low, and just one large bulk ship bound for China was loaded in the Pacific Northwest, with none at the Gulf.
Constrained US export capacity during peak season shifts demand to other origins and builds US stocks, which is bearish for US soybean and corn prices.
After 297 past bearish logistics events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.8%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 359 past bearish logistics events, Corn moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.5%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.