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October brought sharp temperature swings across the Southern and Central Plains, and rainy stretches intermittently slowed harvest and fieldwork. The outlook calls for above-normal precipitation in parts of the Plains, possible drought improvement over the next few months, and a strengthening El Niño continuing through winter.
Improved moisture could ease drought stress for Plains crops, including winter wheat, supporting crop prospects and potentially weighing on prices if conditions improve.
hpj.comRegina BirdNov 7, 2026After 70 past bearish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and -1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
