No imports needed: India's wheat harvest defies market speculation

After 334 past bearish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.7%), and -0.2% over 20.

• May 18, 2025Chicago wheat stumbles on improved harvest prospects - Markets - Business Recorder-4.6%
• Aug 27, 2025Analysts lift Australia's wheat harvest forecast on improved crop conditions — TradingView News+0.1%
• Nov 2, 2020Just when Australia needs it, wheat farmers start bumper harvest-1.8%
• Apr 28, 2025Global wheat market: Wheat prices fall as weather improves in the northern hemisphere-0.9%
• Oct 23, 2023Rainfall lifts Australia’s wheat harvest by several million tons-2.5%

After 70 past bearish weather events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and -1.1% over 20.

• May 18, 2025Chicago wheat stumbles on improved harvest prospects - Markets - Business Recorder+4.3%
• Apr 28, 2025Global wheat market: Wheat prices fall as weather improves in the northern hemisphere-1.8%
• Mar 12, 2021Wheat flat; set for second weekly drop as US weather improves - Markets - Business Recorder-1.5%
• Aug 14, 2017Wheat Markets Act as a Drag on Durum-6.1%
• Mar 21, 2017Wheat leads crop markets lower as rain arrives in Kansas-5.4%