
Thailand's central bank expects headline inflation to stay near 4% through the fourth quarter of 2026 and the first quarter of 2027, driven mainly by higher energy and fresh-food prices, before easing later in 2027. It kept the policy rate unchanged, while noting uncertainty over the Middle East conflict, energy-price support and the pass-through of business costs; the article also reports that crude prices fell amid hopes for an end to the Iran conflict.
Elevated energy costs can raise production and transport expenses, while the reported crude-price decline could ease those pressures. The story provides no specific feed-commodity supply or demand change.
After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.