
The ASX fell nearly 4% on 14 June 2022 after the S&P 500 lost 3.9% and entered a bear market on inflation and US rate-hike fears. Technology and buy-now-pay-later stocks led the declines, and global indices also fell.
Risk-off equity sell-offs and recession fears tend to lower energy and industrial demand and strengthen the US dollar, pressuring commodity prices including grains and crude oil.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.