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SovEcon raised its forecast for Russia's 2026 wheat harvest by 0.8 million tonnes to 88.6 million, citing strong yields in Siberia and improved expectations in the Volga and Ural regions. It also raised barley and corn forecasts by 0.2 million tonnes each, to 19.3 million and 12.7 million tonnes, respectively, bringing its total grain estimate to 135.3 million tonnes; weaker southern-region harvests remain a concern for exports.
The larger wheat and grain crop estimate points to more potential Russian supply, weighing on prices, although lower yields in the southern export regions could constrain export availability and partly offset the bearish effect.
yamal-news.ruАгроинвесторNov 7, 2026After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
