
Cool, mostly dry weather across the Corn Belt is allowing fieldwork to resume after earlier widespread rain, while wet areas continue to delay work. As of November 1, Michigan corn harvest was 43% complete, and national sorghum harvest was 64% complete, both behind five-year averages; dry weather is aiding harvest and winter wheat planting on much of the Plains.
Harvest delays may temporarily constrain the flow of corn and sorghum to market, while dry conditions are helping fieldwork catch up; the reported pace alone suggests only modest price effects.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 224 past neutral weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.