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The World Bank forecasts global fertilizer prices will rise 14% in 2026, then fall 12% in 2027 and another 8% in 2028, as input costs ease and supply recovers. It also projects global food commodity prices will increase 10% in 2026 and 7% in 2027, citing shipment disruptions, weather risks including El Niño, and high energy costs; Hungarian farmers may face offsetting currency and transport costs.
The forecast points to weaker fertilizer costs from 2027, potentially easing crop input expenses, although the outlook implies higher costs in 2026. Food-price strength alongside fertilizer relief may depend on crop shipment and weather risks.
insights.tridge.comNov 6, 2026After 35 past bearish report events, DAP moved a median 0.0% over 5 sessions (37% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
