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June Federal Milk Marketing Order prices showed Class III falling 94 cents to $15.98 per cwt and Class IV collapsing $1.36 to $20.96. Class II rose $2.50 to $22.78, while the advanced Class I base price reached $22.18.
Falling Class III and IV prices after a spring climb signal a softening dairy market, reducing milk revenue and the outlook for dairy herd feed purchases.
After 273 past bearish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -1.3% to +0.4%), and -1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.