
Agricultural Research Council experts warned Northern Cape farmers in South Africa to prepare for severe El Niño impacts. A climate forecast cited a 50% to 60% chance of below-normal rainfall across much of the province’s interior through January, following a prolonged drought that began in 2015.
Below-normal rainfall could worsen local drought stress, reducing crop and pasture availability and increasing pressure on livestock feed demand. The article does not identify a specific feed commodity or quantify production losses.
After 2,467 past weather events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.5% to +1.7%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 1,964 past weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,773 past weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.1%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 361 past weather events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.