
A Reuters graphic reports that the vegetable oils price index has rallied about 70% since last June to nine-year highs. Labour shortages at Asian palm plantations and bad weather in key sunflower, rapeseed and soybean hubs cut edible oil output and inventories fell to 10-year lows.
The graphic ties the rally to the U.S. green energy push and rising food inflation fears.
Biofuel demand for vegetable oils, combined with tight supply and low stocks, supports prices for soyoil and palm oil. Higher oil prices also raise competition for oilseed meals used in feed.
After 842 past bullish policy events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 548 past bullish policy events, Palm Oil moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (61% higher; middle half -0.7% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Background on the vegetable oil rally to nine-year highs, with low inventories and the U.S. green energy push, supports the bullish backdrop but was published several days before the move.