Dollar closes higher as US payrolls beat expectations and local uncertainty persists

After 301 past bullish macro events, Brazilian Real (BRL per USD) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Dec 1, 2025Dollar closes higher against the real, bucking the trend abroad | Brasil 247+1.3%
• Aug 30, 2024Spot dollar closes higher for the 5th session despite interventions by the Central Bank | Brasil 247-0.8%
• Apr 25, 2022Brazilian real tumbles amid rallying dollar and local tensions+3.5%
• Aug 30, 2024Latin American Markets Take A Hit As US Data Shifts Fed Expectations - Finimize-0.8%
• May 15, 2018Brazil's real continues its slump amid election uncertainty | AP News+2.4%

After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.

• Jan 31, 2019Pound-to-Dollar Outlook: GBP/USD Exchange Rate Slides As US Payrolls Beat Expectations+0.1%
• Nov 27, 2019AUD/USD: Dollar Rallies As US GDP Beats Expectations - Currency Live-0.3%
• Aug 26, 2026U.S. data buoys dollar as Fed hike expectations nudged higher+0.4%
• May 1, 2024US dollar modestly higher as sticky inflation persists, yen hits 34-year low-0.7%
• May 27, 2026Analysis-Investors expect US dollar to break higher as Fed battles inflation-0.1%