Spot dollar closes higher for the 5th session despite interventions by the Central Bank

After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Dec 1, 2025Dollar closes higher against the real, bucking the trend abroad | Brasil 247+1.3%
• Aug 30, 2024Brazil Real Swings on Fiscal Woes, Central Bank Interventions-0.8%
• Oct 30, 2025Dollar rises against the real, still influenced by Fed decision | Brasil 247+0.2%
• Nov 19, 2025Dollar rises in the Brazilian market following international movement | Brasil 247+1.3%
• Mar 18, 2020Brazil central bank FX, bond intervention fails to prevent market rout+1.1%

After 73 past neutral macro events, SBM moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.

• Aug 30, 2024Brazil Real Swings on Fiscal Woes, Central Bank Interventions+3.0%
• Aug 27, 2019Brazil central bank to continue FX intervention on Wednesday as real nears record low - The Business Times-1.7%
• Jun 27, 2019Brazil's central bank slashes 2019 GDP growth forecast, sees benign inflation-2.4%
• Feb 14, 2020Brazil's FX intervention may give respite - NYK Daily-0.9%
• Aug 31, 2018Argentina peso firms as central bank intervenes, IMF voices support+4.2%