USDA soybean export sales were strong and in line with expectations, with China the largest buyer at 962,000 tonnes. Traders are also watching the November 10 WASDE report for possible changes to U.S. corn yield and production estimates.
Strong soybean sales support export demand, although sales in line with expectations imply limited new price impact. Any WASDE changes that tighten the U.S. corn outlook could add support to corn prices.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.