
The US national average diesel price rose 10 cents to $3.571 per gallon for the week of June 16, 2025, the largest weekly gain since August 2023. It followed eight weeks of declines, with the EIA citing Israel-Iran attacks and the start of summer driving demand.
A sharp rise in retail diesel costs raises freight and logistics expenses for feed distribution, with the energy-driven move likely to persist while the regional conflict continues.
After 109 past bullish report events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -3.3% to +3.9%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.