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US corn futures fell 2.2% to their lowest level in about three and a half years as crude oil prices plunged. Lower energy prices cut ethanol production and corn demand, and cash bids to farmers were slashed.
Wheat and soybeans rose from recent lows as pandemic-driven demand was seen as supportive.
Ethanol, which uses about 39% of US corn, is tied to crude prices, so further oil weakness could extend the corn decline, while wheat benefits from pandemic buying of food.
financialpost.comReutersMar 18, 2020After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 57 past bullish macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (65% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.7%), and -0.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
