US natural gas prices edged 0.07% lower as milder weather forecasts suggested reduced heating demand in the coming week. Inventories rose by 77 billion cubic feet, LNG terminal flows eased to 18.1 billion cubic feet per day, and forecasts pointed to record gas production in 2026 and 2027.
Milder weather and expanding production could outpace demand growth, keeping supply comfortable and pressuring US gas prices. Longer-term growth in LNG exports provides some offsetting demand support.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.