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Natural gas futures fell 7.1% to $2.97 per MMBtu on Wednesday, and the United States Natural Gas Fund dropped 6.3%. Forecasts showed temperatures would be milder than expected over the next 6-14 days, reducing the earlier cold-snap premium.
Milder forecasts reduce expected heating demand and pull natural gas prices lower. Lower gas costs can ease energy expenses for feed mills and processors.
etftrends.comMax ChenFeb 1, 2018After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Milder 6-14 day forecasts cut expected heating demand and removed the cold-snap premium, driving a 7.1% one-day futures drop within the window.
