
US natural gas futures fell about 7% to a one-week low on Monday as record output and forecasts of mild weather through late November kept heating demand low. Utilities continued injecting gas into storage, and the EIA storage report was delayed by a planned systems upgrade, adding volatility.
Record production and weak heating demand leave US gas oversupplied, pressuring Henry Hub prices, which lowers the cost of gas-fired feed and energy inputs for grain drying and processing.
After 104 past bearish weather events, Natural Gas moved a median -7.8% over 5 sessions (22% higher; middle half -14.8% to -0.8%), and -3.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.