
Live cattle futures fell about $5 on the August contract and $8 on October during the week, as headlines included a plan by President Trump to increase beef imports and the reopening of the Mexican border at an Arizona port. Cash fed steer trade was about 40,000 head at $217-220 live, and boxed beef closed modestly lower.
Expanded beef imports and reopened Mexican cattle flows add supply to a market where packers hold leverage, pressuring fed cash cattle and feeder prices lower.
After 121 past bearish trade events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 87 past bearish trade events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.