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An Oklahoma State extension analysis outlines what a reopening of the Mexican border to cattle imports could mean. Mexican imports have averaged about 1.17 million head a year, and the article says many questions remain about timing and the size of the backlog in Mexico.
A reopening would release a backlog of Mexican feeder cattle into the US, adding supply and pressuring feeder and live cattle prices.
wlj.netDerrell S. Peel, Oklahoma State University Extension livestock marketing specialistNov 21, 2025After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 121 past bearish trade events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (40% higher; middle half -1.6% to +0.8%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
