
North American cattle inventory totals 116.1 million head, with the US holding 75.1%, Mexico 15.4% and Canada 9.5%. US cattle imports in January to April 2024 reached 762,450 head, up 17.1% year over year, mostly feeder cattle from Mexico.
Rising feeder cattle imports add supply to US feedlots, a modestly bearish factor for feeder cattle prices, though the tight overall US herd limits the effect.
After 87 past bearish trade events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -3.2% to +1.9%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 65 past neutral trade events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.4%), and +2.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.