Oil futures: Brent above $100/b as standoff, tanker attacks continue

After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.

• Sep 11, 2026Oil surges 6%, Brent and US crude both surpass $100 on more tanker attacks | Reuters-1.2%
• Jul 1, 2019Oil's Surge on Tanker Attacks Muted by Demand Fears-4.2%
• Sep 15, 2019Brent crude oil spikes the most in history after Saudi attacks+6.6%
• Mar 3, 2022Oil jumps, Brent above $116 per barrel as supply issues persist-1.8%
• Jul 23, 2026Oil prices surge to $100 per barrel after Red Sea attacks-9.5%

After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.

• Sep 11, 2026Oil surges 6%, Brent and US crude both surpass $100 on more tanker attacks | Reuters-0.4%
• Jul 1, 2019Oil's Surge on Tanker Attacks Muted by Demand Fears-1.4%
• Sep 15, 2019Brent crude oil spikes the most in history after Saudi attacks+5.8%
• Mar 3, 2022Oil jumps, Brent above $116 per barrel as supply issues persist-1.7%
• Jul 23, 2026Oil prices surge to $100 per barrel after Red Sea attacks-7.9%