
Brent rose above $116 a barrel and WTI touched an 11-year high as trade and shipping disruption from Russian sanctions raised supply worries. U.S. crude stocks fell to multi-year lows, while OPEC+ kept its planned March output increase.
Low U.S. inventories and sanctions-related disruption point to continued crude strength, raising energy and transport costs for feed producers. OPEC+ keeping its modest increase limits the upside.
After 656 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +1.9% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -2.7% to +6.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 626 past bullish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +2.1% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -2.3% to +8.5%), and +1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Brent rose above $116 on March 3 on trade and shipping disruption from sanctions, falling US stocks and OPEC+ holding to its planned output increase.
Brent rose above $116 on March 3 as sanctions disrupted trade and shipping and US stocks were low.