Brent futures edge higher as Iran war uncertainty persists

After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Apr 30, 2026Global energy costs rise as Iran war affects Brent crude oil price | AP News-15.3%
• Oct 29, 2026Brent moves lower as US Fed maintains interest rates-5.4%
• Nov 30, 2016C$ edges higher against firmer greenback as oil surges+16.7%
• Apr 4, 2024Brent Oil Futures Hit $90 a Barrel for First Time Since October - Bloomberg+1.2%
• Feb 5, 2018Colombian peso recovers as price of Brent crude rises | The City Paper Bogotá-7.5%

After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.

• Apr 30, 2026Global energy costs rise as Iran war affects Brent crude oil price | AP News-9.9%
• Jun 18, 2018Analysis: What Higher Fuel Prices Mean for Trucking | Heavy Duty Trucking+2.1%
• Aug 25, 2023Oil futures up 1% to one-week high on soaring US diesel prices-0.2%
• Sep 26, 2024Diesel inches higher as US, China stimulus lifts demand hopes+1.2%
• Jun 26, 2026US diesel refining economics remain firm despite Iran war truce | Reuters-3.4%