
The US Dollar Index fell to a monthly low near 101.20 after Democrats won control of both houses of Congress in the midterm elections. Falling oil prices, on expectations of a quick end to the Middle East conflict, added to the pressure.
Markets still priced an 82% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike in December.
A weaker dollar generally supports dollar-priced commodities and eases import costs for buyers abroad. The lower oil price also reduces input and freight costs for feed supply chains.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.