Bluewave calms oil and rates; dollar-won opens in the 1,340s

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Dec 15, 2022Oil prices slid 2% as dollar firms and central banks hike interest rates-2.2%
• Sep 18, 2026Ringgit opens higher against US dollar as oil prices ease | The Star-0.3%
• Mar 20, 2026Grain Futures Slid As Oil Paused And The Dollar Firmed - Finimize+0.8%
• Mar 19, 2021Oil battered in ugly week as demand concerns, dollar spur slump-1.8%
• May 31, 2018Oil Price Slides, Canadian Dollar Exchange Rates Side With It | Exchange Rates UK-3.1%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jan 17, 2023The downturn in the dollar is not just about rates-0.0%
• Jun 26, 2025Is the era of a weak dollar coming... KRW-USD exchange rate falls to the 1,350 won range-0.9%
• Mar 28, 2018US dollar weighed down by trade and interest rate policies | The National+0.2%
• Jul 27, 2017FOMC Deflates Dollar Inflates Oil And Gold - ActionForex-0.6%
• Jul 30, 2018Rand gains ground against the dollar+0.2%

Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.