Crude oil fell below $94 on Thursday after a roughly 9% plunge the previous session following the Democratic midterm victory. Brent was trading near $93.51 and WTI below $87.
Goldman Sachs said oil could rise again if production problems persist in the Gulf.
The political shift has reduced the war premium, but Goldman's warning on Gulf production means supply risk could return quickly. Energy costs for feed processors and freight remain sensitive to these swings.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.