Oil prices held near their lows in Asian trading after plunging more than 8% the previous session on Democratic victories in the US midterms. Brent settled at $94.62 and WTI at $88.12, both at their lowest since August 31.
Qatar has stepped up mediation between Washington and Tehran, though a diplomatic breakthrough remains uncertain.
A Democratic Congress could limit war funding and push a negotiated settlement, which would restore Gulf oil flows. Until flows recover, crude and diesel costs remain elevated for feed buyers.
After 250 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -3.1% over 5 sessions (36% higher; middle half -7.9% to +1.6%), and -5.5% over 20.
After 255 past bearish geopolitics events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -2.4% over 5 sessions (31% higher; middle half -7.0% to +1.7%), and -5.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.