
Recent heavy rain and a tornado in Paraná, mainly in Maringá, have not caused significant losses to summer crops so far. Soybean planting reached 71% of the intended area, compared with 79% at the same point last year.
Wet weather is making fungicide application harder and may raise producers' input costs.
Planting is slightly behind last year, but state agronomists see no serious problem yet, so the impact on supply is limited. Any further delays in Paraná could tighten soybean and meal supply later in the season.
After 324 past neutral weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.7%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 55 past neutral weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.