Loading…
Global equities rebounded toward record highs while the US dollar index fell near a one-month low on rising bets of a December Fed cut. Japanese bond yields reached their highest since 2007, raising concerns about a yen carry trade unwind, and Germany faces a key coalition vote.
A weaker dollar tends to support dollar-denominated grain and oilseed prices, while carry-trade volatility could add short-term swings across FX and commodity markets.
convera.comHolly ThompsonDec 5, 2025After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 151 past bullish macro events, CORN moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -0.9% to +1.4%), and -0.3% over 20.
After 123 past bullish macro events, SOY moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.8%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
