Loading…
The Federal Reserve delivered an emergency 50 basis point rate cut, and the dollar initially weakened against major currencies with high-yield currencies performing strongly. The analysis expects possibly three stages of easing totaling 100 basis points and warns that Covid-19 is both a supply and demand shock.
Further Fed cuts are expected to weaken the dollar, which supports dollar-priced commodities, but high volatility argues against adding carry trades in emerging market currencies.
think.ing.comChris TurnerMar 3, 2020After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
