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Grain and oilseed futures continued to decline, with only brief short-covering rallies. Record South American corn and soybean crops, weak Chinese buying and USDA forecasts of record US yields point to large carryout stocks.
Expectations of record supplies and large 2024/25 stocks-to-use ratios keep downward pressure on corn, soybean and wheat prices. Tighter Fed policy adds to the bearish outlook.
dtnpf.comJoel KarlinFeb 26, 2024After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, SOY moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, WHEAT moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Describes continued grain and oilseed futures declines on record South American crops, weak Chinese buying and large expected US carryout, a bearish sentiment and supply backdrop that fed the selloff.
