
Ukraine's Ministry of Agriculture reported 2.003 million tonnes of grain exported from the season start through July 27, including wheat, barley and corn. Harvest was 67% complete, with 23.04 million tonnes of grain harvested, and Russia had harvested 17.2% of its grain area with yields tracking above the prior year.
Brisk Ukrainian export pace alongside a larger early Russian harvest points to ample Black Sea wheat and barley supplies, which tends to pressure feed grain prices.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.