
The European Commission's late-October update puts Polish grain output at about 33.5 million tonnes, 4.5% below the five-year average and below the earlier GUS estimate of 35.5 million tonnes. The EU figures are lower mainly for soft wheat, rye and maize.
A smaller Polish crop tightens EU feed grain supply, supporting corn and wheat prices and raising import needs for feed buyers.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.