
New World screwworm was confirmed in Arizona for the first time, in a dog in Cochise County, announced by USDA on Oct. 28, 2026.
The detection comes about a month before USDA's planned Nov. 30 reopening of the Nogales port to Mexican cattle, a date the agency has made conditional and not changed.
A confirmed case in a US state raises the risk that the Nogales reopening is delayed, keeping Mexican feeder cattle supply tight and supporting US feeder cattle prices.
After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.
After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.