Stocks, dollar and country risk: how the market reacts today after Donald Trump's defeat in the US Congress

After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Jul 19, 2018Dollar and gold falters as Trump hits fed, stocks drop: markets wrap - MINING.COM+2.5%
• Mar 10, 2020Fear in the Market Drives Dow and Crude Oil Lower, Drags Ag Markets Along | Hoosier Ag Today-7.1%
• Nov 17, 2022Canadian dollar holds steady vs U.S. counterpart, beats rest of G10 - The Globe and Mail-9.0%
• Aug 31, 2021Canadian dollar retreats after surprise GDP contraction - Markets - Business Recorder-1.2%
• Aug 31, 2021Canadian dollar steadies after ‘limited’ reaction to GDP miss - The Globe and Mail-1.2%

After 312 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.

• Jan 27, 2020Stocks and Oil Drop, Gold Rises As Wuhan Coronavirus Spreads - Markets Insider-3.4%
• Nov 29, 2018Rupee closes at 69.85 a dollar after 3 months of weak run in the 70s | News on Markets - Business Standard+5.8%
• Feb 2, 2018Oil prices fall as US stock market slumps and dollar strengthens-6.3%
• Aug 31, 2026The dollar in Colombia starts the week soaring: the TRM rises to $3,202.79 after five days of increases | IBTimes CO+10.1%
• Sep 23, 2020Gold and Silver Hit by Hawkish Fed Boost to Dollar - Markets Insider-1.5%

After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Jul 19, 2018Dollar and gold falters as Trump hits fed, stocks drop: markets wrap - MINING.COM-0.4%
• Jun 13, 2018US Dollar on Cusp of Renewed Downtrend as Faster-Fed Fails to Inspire the Market+1.3%
• Oct 31, 2019Trump bets on Fed cuts to help the dollar. Don't count on it-0.1%
• Mar 1, 2017Great Graphic: Fed's Real Broad Trade Weighted Dollar - Marc to Market Marc Chandler on Global FX and Capital Markets+0.4%
• Apr 30, 2026Why now may be a good time to consider buying U.S. stocks using Canadian depositary receipts - The Globe and Mail-0.8%