
The Canadian dollar was little changed against the U.S. dollar on August 31, 2021, recovering earlier losses. Statistics Canada reported that the economy unexpectedly contracted 1.1% in the second quarter, versus analyst expectations of 2.5% growth.
Oil prices had fallen earlier in the session.
A weaker oil price and a softer Canadian economy weigh on the loonie, which raises the cost of Canadian-origin imports for buyers. The currency move is small and has little direct effect on feed grain prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 565 past bearish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.