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The euro rose against the dollar to about 1.1265 as the Democrats were expected to sweep both chambers of Congress. Analysts at Danske Bank attributed the dollar's fall mainly to concerns about slower AI and data centre investment, while investment banks expect France's worsening public finances to limit euro gains over the medium term.
Dollar weakness supports dollar-denominated commodity prices and eases import costs for euro-zone feed buyers, but fiscal stress in France could cap the euro's rally and keep currency swings volatile.
poundsterlinglive.comGary HowesNov 4, 2026After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
