The dollar slid on Tuesday as the two-year German Bund yield rose 25 bp in a week to 2.196%, narrowing the yield spread with Treasuries. Traders also watched the U.S. midterm elections and the upcoming October CPI release.
Analysts expected core CPI of 0.5% monthly and 6.5% annually.
The move reflects expectations of ECB tightening rather than a shift in U.S. fundamentals, so its direct effect on feed commodity prices is limited. A pending CPI release could reverse the dollar's slide.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.