The euro rose nearly 0.7% to $1.168 and the dollar index fell 0.6% after comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde and moves in interest rate markets. The ECB kept policy unchanged and reaffirmed its bond-buying plan, while the Bank of Canada had made hawkish comments the day before.
A weaker dollar against the euro supports dollar-priced European demand for US commodities, but the move mainly reflects central bank rate expectations rather than a direct change in feed supply or demand.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.