FX Weekly - US dollar slips on election surprise

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Jun 27, 2025SK Won Rises as Dollar Slips-0.3%
• Jun 28, 2024US dollar slightly weaker on diminishing inflation-0.7%
• Nov 3, 2020Latam FX, stocks rally as dollar dogged by election jitters-1.8%
• Nov 24, 2023Dollar slips on bets US rates have peaked-0.4%
• Feb 24, 2025South Korean Won Rises on Weak US Dollar+0.9%

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Oct 31, 2024Euro Outperforms Dollar and Pound After Inflation and GDP Surprises-1.2%
• Mar 31, 2023Dollar up vs. euro but remains on track for weekly loss after inflation data+0.3%
• Oct 28, 2021Euro Mildly Higher after ECB, Dollar Dips Slightly on GDP Miss - ActionForex-0.1%
• Oct 31, 2019Euro rises as dollar weakens on questions about more Fed rate cuts-0.4%
• Apr 27, 2023Euro near one-year peak as US economic risks weigh on dollar-0.0%