Russia's grain exports through its ports fell to 11.2 million metric tons in July–October 2026 from 24.2 million a year earlier, a roughly 2.2-fold decline. Wheat shipments dropped to 7.8 million tons from 18.8 million, and wheat was sent to 48 countries versus 61 a year earlier.
A sharp drop in Russian seaborne wheat and barley supply tightens global feed grain availability and supports prices for importers such as Egypt, Iran and Kenya, while Black Sea disruption keeps export logistics costs elevated.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.