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BIMCO estimates grain shipments from Russia and Ukraine fell 49% year-on-year in January–August 2025, with combined production about 10% below pre-war levels. Russia cut its wheat export quota by 63% between February and June, and the EU's duty-free deal for Ukrainian farm exports expired in June, no longer covering wheat and corn.
Lower Black Sea supply tightens global wheat and corn availability, partly offset by US, Canadian, Australian, Argentine and Romanian shipments, supporting prices for feed grains and meal substitutes.
worldports.orgLinh NguyenAug 29, 2025worldports.orgSophie BeckerAug 27, 2025After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 729 past bullish trade events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (56% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.8%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
