
Russia's seaborne grain exports fell 1.7% year-on-year to 6.2 million tonnes in October, according to shipping data. Season-to-date seaborne exports reached 19.2 million tonnes, down 15.6% from a year earlier.
Black Sea terminals, which handle about 90% of shipments, fell 3% while Caspian shipments rose 60.3%.
A slower harvest and reduced Russian seaborne supply tighten export availability and modestly support wheat and feed grain prices in global markets.
After 431 past bullish trade events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.1%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.