EUR/USD Outlook: Could a Weaker US Dollar Pave the Way for Further Gains?

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Mar 23, 2020EUR/USD: FED Unlimited QE Sees Euro Gains But Nordea Unwilling To Call For Weaker Dollar Outlook+3.5%
• Jan 30, 2026Why the US dollar hit a four-year low and could fall further-1.2%
• Mar 26, 2025Why do we expect further weakening of the US dollar? - AP Institutional | Invesco-0.0%
• Feb 9, 2023What's behind the euro's comeback against the US dollar-0.5%
• Aug 2, 2024EUR/USD outlook: Surges on much weaker than expected US NFP numbers+1.2%

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Mar 23, 2020EUR/USD: FED Unlimited QE Sees Euro Gains But Nordea Unwilling To Call For Weaker Dollar Outlook-2.0%
• Jan 30, 2026Why the US dollar hit a four-year low and could fall further+0.9%
• Aug 28, 2020USD: Fed has set up the dollar for further weakness - MUFG - Forex Crunch-0.5%
• Nov 1, 2019US dollar could weaken to 85 on the dollar index: Citi+0.2%
• Mar 26, 2025Why do we expect further weakening of the US dollar? - AP Institutional | Invesco+0.3%