Why do we expect further weakening of the US dollar? - AP Institutional

After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.

• Aug 14, 2025Bangkok Post - Analysts expect baht to test 32 as US dollar weakens further+0.5%
• Jan 28, 2026CNA Explains: Why is the US dollar weakening - and how much did the yen really matter? - CNA+0.4%
• May 10, 2025With the US dollar weakening, why is the exchange rate in Vietnam still rising?+0.5%
• Feb 12, 2024US Dollar: A Week of Disinflation Tests | Investing.com UK+0.1%
• Apr 24, 2023Four reasons why investors expect US dollar to keep sliding - Moneyweb-0.1%

After 388 past bullish macro events, Euro (USD per EUR) moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.

• Nov 10, 2019Why the euro is emerging as a brave bet against the dollar | The National+0.5%
• Jan 30, 2026Why the US dollar hit a four-year low and could fall further-1.2%
• Jan 31, 2023Expect Pound Sterling Weakness against Euro, Dollar in Wake of Bank of England: CIBC-1.3%
• Mar 7, 2025Dollar dives as bull case weakens but some investors expect a bounce+0.4%
• Jan 29, 2018G10 FX Week Ahead: State of the dollar | ING THINK+0.2%