
Citi strategist Mohammed Apabhai said the US dollar index could fall as low as 85 as the Federal Reserve expands its balance sheet by buying more bonds. He argued that a weaker dollar would benefit emerging market equities.
A forecast dollar decline would tend to support dollar-denominated commodity prices and emerging market import demand, though this is an analyst projection rather than a confirmed move.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.