
Gold and silver gave back part of the prior session's gains as oil swings revived inflation and rate worries. The US 2-year yield rose to 4.59% and the VIX climbed to 21.15 on 2 November.
Volatile crude keeps inflation expectations high and the Fed cautious, which weighs on non-yielding assets and supports the dollar. For feed buyers the signal is mainly through energy costs and currency moves rather than direct grain demand.
After 102 past neutral macro events, WTI moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.