Dollar Closes at Year High on Concern Over Economic Policy

After 301 past bullish macro events, USDBRL moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +1.0% over 20.

• Dec 18, 2024Dollar index hits two-year high after Fed delivers rate cut+1.3%
• Jun 27, 2019Brazilian real falls on economy worries, dollar lifts other Latam forex - Pension Policy International+0.2%
• Jun 28, 2018How a Rising U.S. Dollar Puts Argentina's and Brazil's Economies at Risk+1.8%
• Dec 1, 2025Dollar closes higher against the real, bucking the trend abroad | Brasil 247+1.3%
• Apr 28, 2022Global shares rise as earnings boost, U.S. dollar hits 20-year high-0.2%

After 117 past bearish macro events, SBM moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Jun 28, 2018How a Rising U.S. Dollar Puts Argentina's and Brazil's Economies at Risk-1.7%
• Jul 12, 2022Dollar rises to 20-year highs, sends grains lower – The Seam-8.2%
• Nov 28, 2024BRL: Real hits four year low on fiscal concerns – ING — Elev8-1.3%
• May 3, 2022Dollar approaches 20-year highs, Fed meeting in focus-6.7%
• Aug 5, 2024Brazilian real depreciation stirs economic concerns-7.8%